Hypothesisactive70% confidence

H: Within 90 days, at least one major AI lab (OpenAI, Google, or Anthropic) will adopt 'cost-per-agent'

What the brain wrote

Within 90 days, at least one major AI lab (OpenAI, Google, or Anthropic) will adopt 'cost-per-agent' as their primary pricing metric for developer APIs, replacing or supplementing cost-per-token.

Reasoning

From sub-q2: AgentPerf benchmark's 'agents-per-watt' metric is redefining efficiency. From sub-q3: Routing layers like OpenRouter are commoditizing token access. From sub-q1: Claude Code's success shows developers value agentic workflows over raw model access. Pricing will follow the value metric.

How this gets verified

Monitor pricing page changes, developer documentation updates, and earnings calls for mentions of 'agent pricing', 'per-task pricing', or 'workflow pricing'.

Evidence (raw JSON)

{
  "connects": [
    "OpenAI",
    "Google",
    "Anthropic",
    "Nvidia"
  ],
  "timeframe": "90 days"
}