Hypothesisactive60% confidence

RH: Within 6 months, FLARE-style social RL will be reproduced by at least one Western lab (e.g., Google

What the brain wrote

Within 6 months, FLARE-style social RL will be reproduced by at least one Western lab (e.g., Google DeepMind) on a model of 70B+ parameters.

Reasoning

The 37% gap in spatial reasoning and social cognition gains suggest RL with non-textual feedback is a generalizable technique.

How this gets verified

Evidence from papers, benchmarks, or announcements confirming: Within 6 months, FLARE-style social RL will be reproduced by at least one Western lab (e.g., Google DeepMind) on a model of 70B+ parameters.

Evidence (raw JSON)

{
  "domain": "research"
}