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Moonshot AI

company declining

Founded by Yang Zhilin (Transformer-XL). Kimi chatbot with 2M token context. Backed by Alibaba, Tencent, Sequoia. Valued $18B+. Long-context models, consumer AI in China.

🤖Agent's take · Momentum3d ago · graph-walked

Moonshot AI, founded by Transformer-XL co-author Yang Zhilin, is aggressively challenging OpenAI and Anthropic with a relentless cadence of long-context models and consumer products. Backed by Alibaba, Tencent, and Sequoia at an $18B+ valuation, it has shipped Kimi K2.5, K2.6, K2.7-Code, and the massive 2.8T-parameter Kimi K3 in rapid succession — the latter topping US models in front-end coding at smaller scale. Its Kimi chatbot boasts a 2M token context window, and products like Kimi WebBridge and Kimi Slides extend its consumer reach. Yet recent news reveals Moonshot paused K3 subscriptions due to GPU capacity shortages, exposing a critical dependency on compute infrastructure. Cursor licensing Kimi-K2.7-Code signals developer traction, but scaling demand may outstrip supply. Can Moonshot secure enough GPU capacity to sustain its sprint against well-capitalized Western rivals?

  • ·Backed by Alibaba, Tencent, Sequoia at $18B+ valuation
  • ·Competes directly with OpenAI and Anthropic
  • ·Shipped 5 models in rapid succession: K2.5, K2.6, K2.7-Code, K3, plus consumer products
  • ·Kimi K3 (2.8T params) tops US models in front-end coding at smaller scale
  • ·Paused K3 subscriptions due to GPU capacity shortage — growth constrained by compute
34Total Mentions
+0.37Sentiment (Positive)
+0.7%Velocity (7d)
$2.8B+Total Funding
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Beijing, China300 employeesFirst seen: Feb 17, 2026Last active: 2d agoWikipedia

Signal Radar

Five-axis snapshot of this entity's footprint

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MentionsMomentumConnectionsRecencyDiversity
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Mentions × Lab Attention

Weekly mentions (solid) and average article relevance (dotted)

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01
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Timeline

20
  1. Product LaunchJul 27, 2026

    Released Kimi K3, a 1.56 trillion parameter MoE model

    View source
    model:
    Kimi K3
    parameters:
    1.56T
    weight:
    1561 GB
  2. PolicyJul 27, 2026

    Open-weight release of Kimi K3 scheduled to offload compute demand

    View source
  3. Regulatory ActionJul 26, 2026

    White House accused Moonshot AI of distilling Anthropic's Fable model to train Kimi K3

    View source
  4. Product LaunchJul 20, 2026

    Paused new subscriptions for Kimi K3 due to GPU capacity limits

    View source
  5. Product LaunchJul 17, 2026

    Moonshot AI's Kimi K3 achieved 89.2% on SWE-bench Front-End, beating GPT-4o, Claude 3.5 Sonnet, and Gemini 2.0 Pro

    View source
    benchmark score:
    89.2%
    training cost:
    $3.8M
    parameters activated:
    16B
  6. Product LaunchJul 17, 2026

    Released Kimi K3, a 2.8T-parameter MoE model with 1M token context window

    View source
    parameters:
    2.8T
    context window:
    1M tokens
    pricing input:
    $3/M tokens
    pricing output:
    $15/M tokens
  7. PartnershipJun 13, 2026

    Moonshot AI partners with state-owned bank to launch world's first AI-native credit card via Kimi

    View source
  8. Product LaunchMay 21, 2026

    Released Kimi WebBridge browser extension

    View source
  9. Product LaunchApr 21, 2026

    Released the Kimi 2.6 Thinking open-weights reasoning model

    View source
  10. Product LaunchApr 20, 2026

    Released the open-source coding model Kimi K2.6, achieving top scores on SWE-Bench Pro and HumanEval with Tools benchmarks.

    View source
    benchmark scores:
    58.6% on SWE-Bench Pro, 54.0% on HLE with tools
  11. Product LaunchApr 14, 2026

    Released a trillion-parameter open-source model matching Claude Opus on coding benchmarks.

    View source
  12. Product LaunchApr 13, 2026

    Teased upcoming 'Kimi 2.6' code model via leaked image, suggesting a major update to Kimi Chat.

    View source
  13. Product LaunchApr 12, 2026

    Released Kimi K2.6 open-weights reasoning model

    View source
  14. FundingMar 27, 2026

    Exploring new private funding round of up to $1 billion at $18 billion pre-money valuation

    amount:
    $1B
    valuation:
    $18B
  15. IpoMar 27, 2026

    Exploring Hong Kong initial public offering (IPO)

    exchange:
    Hong Kong
  16. Product LaunchMar 24, 2026

    Launched Kimi Slides, an AI tool that converts notes into investor-ready presentations

    View source
    product category:
    presentation_generator
    target market:
    investor_presentations
  17. Research MilestoneMar 16, 2026

    Introduced Attention Residuals technology to mitigate deep-layer information loss in LLMs

    View source
  18. FundingMar 16, 2026

    Secured over $700 million at a $10 billion valuation earlier this year

    amount:
    $700 million
    valuation:
    $10 billion
  19. FundingMar 14, 2026

    Raising up to $1 billion at an $18 billion valuation, quadrupling its worth in three months.

    View source
    amount:
    $1 billion
    valuation:
    $18 billion
  20. FundingFeb 28, 2026

    Reached a $10 billion valuation in a previous funding round.

    View source
    valuation:
    $10 billion

Relationships

21

Developed

Competes With

Invested

Partnered

  • company✓ corroborated3 mentions45% conf.

Licensed

Frequently appears with

10

Entities that show up in the same articles — shared coverage, not a stated relationship.

Recent Articles

7

Predictions

No predictions linked to this entity.

AI Discoveries

10
  • observationactive1d ago

    Research: Large-Scale RL for Agentic Tasks (MoE models) [unknown]

    State of art: NVIDIA's Molt framework scales RL to 1T-parameter MoE models via vLLM with fully-async rollout.. Key insight: Molt's 9.2K-line efficiency suggests RL for agents is becoming tractable at frontier scale, shifting focus from training to inference-time optimization.. Leading: Nvidia, Moons

    70% confidence
  • observationactive4d ago

    Sentiment divergence: Alibaba vs Moonshot AI

    Alibaba and Moonshot AI have a 'invested' relationship (3 evidence articles) but their recent sentiment has diverged significantly: Alibaba=0.12, Moonshot AI=0.57 (gap=0.44). Sentiment divergence between related entities often signals an emerging conflict, leadership change, or strategic shift.

    70% confidence
  • hypothesisactive5d ago

    H: Within 90 days, at least one major Chinese AI lab (Moonshot, BAAI, or Baidu) will announce a knowled

    Within 90 days, at least one major Chinese AI lab (Moonshot, BAAI, or Baidu) will announce a knowledge-graph-enhanced model that beats Gemini-3-Flash on at least two standard benchmarks, leveraging the K12-KGraph approach.

    70% confidence
  • observationactiveJul 21, 2026

    Novel co-occurrence: Moonshot AI + GPT-4o

    Moonshot AI (company) and GPT-4o (ai_model) appeared together in 2 articles this week but have NEVER co-occurred before and have no existing relationship. This is a potential breaking story signal.

    85% confidence
  • observationactiveJul 20, 2026

    Lifecycle: Moonshot AI

    Moonshot AI is in 'established' phase (1 mentions/3d, 3/14d, 31 total)

    90% confidence
  • observationactiveJul 19, 2026

    Sentiment divergence: Tencent vs Moonshot AI

    Tencent and Moonshot AI have a 'invested' relationship (3 evidence articles) but their recent sentiment has diverged significantly: Tencent=0.16, Moonshot AI=0.63 (gap=0.47). Sentiment divergence between related entities often signals an emerging conflict, leadership change, or strategic shift.

    70% confidence
  • hypothesisactiveJul 18, 2026

    H: Within 90 days, at least one major US cloud provider (AWS, Azure, or GCP) will announce support for

    Within 90 days, at least one major US cloud provider (AWS, Azure, or GCP) will announce support for running Kimi K3 on their infrastructure, breaking the trend of US clouds avoiding Chinese models.

    55% confidence
  • hypothesisactiveJul 18, 2026

    H: Within 60 days, Nvidia will announce a formal partnership or investment in a Chinese AI company (lik

    Within 60 days, Nvidia will announce a formal partnership or investment in a Chinese AI company (likely Moonshot AI or Zhipu AI) to counter the Alibaba-SAIL ecosystem threat.

    65% confidence
  • hypothesisactiveJul 18, 2026

    H: Within 60 days, Microsoft's merged Agent Framework will support Kimi K3 as a model option, directly

    Within 60 days, Microsoft's merged Agent Framework will support Kimi K3 as a model option, directly competing with Claude Code on Azure.

    60% confidence
  • hypothesisactiveJul 18, 2026

    H: Within 30 days, Moonshot AI will announce a cloud partnership with Alibaba Cloud for Kimi K3 inferen

    Within 30 days, Moonshot AI will announce a cloud partnership with Alibaba Cloud for Kimi K3 inference, leveraging Alibaba's GPU infrastructure despite Alibaba's low sentiment.

    75% confidence

Sentiment History

+10-1
6-W246-W296-W31
Positive sentiment
Negative sentiment
Range: -1 to +1
WeekAvg SentimentMentions
2026-W240.701
2026-W27-0.201
2026-W280.401
2026-W290.752
2026-W30-0.152
2026-W310.201